The Bayesian Conspiracy: “What matters is that Bayes is cool, and if you don’t know Bayes, you aren’t cool.”

Yudkowsky offers to decode the secret: Maybe you see the theorem, and you understand the theorem, and you can use the theorem, but you can’t understand why your friends and/or research colleagues seem to think it’s the secret of the universe.  Maybe your friends are all wearing Bayes’ Theorem T-shirts, and you’re feeling left out. … Continue reading The Bayesian Conspiracy: “What matters is that Bayes is cool, and if you don’t know Bayes, you aren’t cool.”

Bayes’ Theorem: An Introduction for Philosophers

We don’t normally think of induction and statistics as a part of critical thinking courses, but I think we should. Logic doesn’t end with deduction, after all, and there are few other instances in a college curriculum where students are asked to think carefully about how they ought to evaluate evidence, rather than being asked to apply… Continue reading Bayes’ Theorem: An Introduction for Philosophers